Is there a basis for your disagreement? A lot of people make assumptions without truly understanding the facts.
Correct me if i'm wrong, but i'm surmising your assumption is that Government assistance is taking people out of the workplace (i.e. making them freeloaders) therefore contributing to the labor supply problem. Simple google research shows otherwise. According to the USDA (who manage the SNAP program, i.e. food stamps), 72% of SNAP recipients have jobs. The problem is that even with jobs, they do not earn enough money to put food on the table. Another interesting statistic is that 48% are elderly, i.e. are not workforce eligible to begin with. So i don't think the Government "dole" is significantly affecting the labor market.
What is probably a bigger factor are population trends. The rate of population increase is decreasing and the elderly (non workforce eligible) are increasing, i.e. less supply. Currently, 17% of the US population is over 65. This is projected to increase to 23% by 2060. Also, population growth is expected to slow to 1.8 M/yr by 2030 and 1.5 M/yr after 2040 (it's around 2.3 M/yr now). Oh, and the growth is mostly attributed to emigration.
That is all long term trend analysis. What i'm thinking is happening right now is shock to the market from COVID. It will take some time for that shock to equalize.
And it's not because of the big bad Gov'ment
Some good points there.
The only main point I see different is the covid part. I think that has had a massive effect that way outweighs the long term trends you mention. And we have to remember that it was not covid per se that had the main economic knock on effects, it was the govt reactions too it.
Here in the U.K. we had several very long lock downs. You simply cannot lock down society, industry, etc and expect to switch it back on like flicking a switch. Quite simply, many companies didn’t survive so cannot switch back on. Many workers changed their thinking and decided not to return to work, go into study, change careers, etc.
This switch off / on issue is especially bad given global supply chains. It causes huge problems when they are stopped. Goods degrade, get disposed of, etc. And it takes months for supply chains to properly re-fill so that they can function, ie supply to a given demand, correctly.
Then on top of all of that, you have the financial part. During lock downs people simply could not spend anywhere near their normal amounts. On top of that people were allowed to take looong mortgage and rent breaks. And, most (NOT all) working people were paid 80% of their salary, basically by the govt.
So, we actually have a huge swath of people who come out of covid with more money in the bank than they’ve ever had before, PLUS two years worth of pent up purchasing demand… and then we wonder why inflation is rising! This is, and always was, absolutely inevitable and predidictable.
Also, not all working people are like people on this forum. By definition, people on this forum enjoying obtaining and using disposable income (money for luxuries, like Nortons). But not everyone is like that, some people are currently deciding that they simply do not need to return to work yet as they have enough money to finance an extended break. Plus lock down persuaded many people into retirement early. And, covid policies basically meant that many migrant workers returned home. So, there is actually a fairly sizeable reduction of workers in the system.
So, in short, govt covid policies (irrespective of whether you support them or not) have most definitely had a huge impact on two current major issues: labour markets and inflation. Of course, my observations appertain to the U.K. but similar can be applied elsewhere I suspect.